The Romney Campaign’s Tin Ear

On April 22, 2012, in Barack Obama, by ebliversidge

The Romney campaign continues to leave many evangelical voters feeling a bit out of sorts. It seems more and more the Romney campaign calculus is that the campaign will get the evangelical vote without much effort. As Ben Domenech wrote in his excellent Transom last week: Now evangelicals shift from roughly half the pie in the primary to a quarter of it in the general (they were 24% of voters in 2008). They are making their peace with Romney, but the potential danger, as I’ve noted before, is that their lackluster feelings for him will result in lower evangelical turnout than needed to win. In order for Romney to win, he needs evangelicals to come out for him at the same levels they did for McCain or better. In 2004, George W. Bush won evangelicals over Kerry 79-21, while McCain won them over Obama 73-26 in 2008. http://vlt.tc/8a0 While similar numbers will probably hold for Romney in 2012, he cannot afford any significant drop off in those numbers. Obama gained among White Protestants by a significant margin over Kerry, cutting it to a 45-54 win for McCain where Bush had won them by 19 points. (It’s also notable that McCain and Bush 2000 both underperformed their internal poll data among evangelicals prior to the election – Karl Rove made a repeated point of that defect, and was determined it would not be true in 2004.) As an evangelical, let me explain something to those of you who may not be able to relate, don’t understand, or just don’t like it. Evangelicals view themselves as strangers in a strange land. To quote one of my favorite books of the New Testament, “People who say such things show that they are looking for a country of their own. If they had been thinking of the country they had left, they would have had opportunity to return. Instead, they were longing for a better country—a heavenly one. Therefore God is not ashamed to be called their God, for he has prepared a city for them.” Hebrews 11:14-16 (NIV). For a good subset of evangelicals, they are not committed to the Republican or the Democrat. According to the most recent Barna Survey, evangelicals prioritize their issues first and second on the debt and taxes, but then abortion and gay marriage are up there in the top five, which deviates greatly from the general populace. They remain skeptical of Mitt Romney and, as they are just passing through on their way to eternity, a number of them may sit out. Just as troubling and extremely likely, they’ll vote for Romney, but they won’t give money, knock on doors, get their friends engaged, or show any other enthusiasm. For those of you who view Romney as better than Obama, evangelicals view them both as sinners in a lost world, which they fully expect to go to hell in a hand basket before the second coming. In other words, Mitt Romney cannot afford to take them for granted. While he will get close to three quarters of those evangelicals who do turn out to vote, he must ensure they do turn out. And that brings me to his tin ear. For a demographic that makes up one quarter of the general election, these voters do not trust MItt Romney, do not think he appreciates them or can relate to them, and thinks he takes them for granted. Today, Chuck Colson died. Mr. Colson and I have both been involved with the same evangelical groups, including that group that threw its support to Santorum. Due to his health, I don’t think he really participated that much publicly or in meetings, but his spirit was there. He was mentioned several times by his friends who met in Texas. I was in that room. Those who threw their support behind Rick Santorum were his friends, compatriots, and kindred spirits. Chuck Colson was a most consequential figure in evangelical circles and within the Republican Party. Consider if you will Mike Pence’s statement on Chuck Colson. Rep. Pence is running for Governor of Indiana. Today, he released this statement: “In the passing of Chuck Colson, the earthly life of a consequential American has come to an end and I mark this day with a sense of personal loss. He rose to the heights of political power and fell to the depths of disgrace, but in his fall, he found redemption in the gospel of Jesus Christ. Having been given a second chance, Chuck Colson devoted his life to carrying the Christian message of second chances to those in prison, and he saw countless lives changed by his compassion and example. “His voice of moral clarity was an inspiration to millions of Americans and made him an invaluable counselor to leaders in government and business. I will always count it a privilege to have been able to call him my dear friend and mentor. His dedication to moral integrity, serving his fellow man and his steadfast faith have always and will always be an inspiration to me and my family. Karen and I offer our deepest condolences to Patty, the whole Colson family and to all who mourn the loss of Chuck Colson.” Consider Speaker John Boehner’s statement: “Chuck Colson lived an extraordinary life. He was a man who experienced tremendous lows yet went on to spark a movement of ideas and people focused on spiritual transformation. His calling was to minister to prisoners and their families through Prison Fellowship, an organization emphasizing spiritual renewal that is active in more than 100 countries across the globe. Chuck was a patriot who loved America. He was a Marine. He was a mentor. He was also a best-selling author, a broadcaster, and a leader – one who inspired a generation of Christian believers to defend the faith while showing true compassion for people forgotten by society. In the eyes of the world, he was a person who had it all and then lost it all. But in God’s eyes, Chuck’s path in life was just preparation for His higher purposes. Through the full picture of the life Chuck Colson led, Americans saw that a broken man can accept the gift of redemption and embrace a new life devoted to the service and redemption of others. This will be his legacy. We, his countrymen, join the Colson family in mourning their loss, and in celebrating the gift that was his extraordinary life.” Now consider Mitt Romney’s “Chuck Colson embodied and made possible an immeasurable amount of good in the lives of the people, families and communities he served in bringing a message of faith and hope. Ann and I are praying for Patty, the Colson family and all the people he touched throughout the world who will miss him.” As several people noted on twitter, that might be the only statement released today that didn’t mention God, Christ, or Christianity. But that’s the minor issue. The major issue is two sentences. It may seem a trivial thing, but for a group already presuming they’ll be taken for granted and not really valued, it is a real problem. This evening an email exchange between a number of evangelicals on this very topic left a lot of them more certain than ever that Mitt Romney just expects their vote. He may get it, but not their passion or energy. That is the real problem for him. People used to witnesses won’t be for him.

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The Romney Campaign’s Tin Ear

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Obamacare’s Medical Mercenaries

On April 13, 2012, in Barack Obama, Health Care, by SzollosiKossow976

Those who fear Obamacare will be eliminated by an unelected Supreme Court can put down their Xanax: the un-elected American Board of Internal Medicine Foundation (ABIMF) and its un-elected proxies are working hard to get doctors to implement the health law by encouraging them not to diagnose their patients too often. You read that right. The foundation’s ” Choosing Wisely ” campaign is framed as a voluntary program to encourage doctors to cut down on “unnecessary medical tests.” In its “lists” the campaign offers 45 tests to avoid from 9 different medical groups. The selection process is portrayed as the product of deep thinking of leading experts in keeping with the medical edict of first do no harm. Each recommendation begins with the words — much like the Ten Commandments — “do not.” But the definitive tone of denial repudiates the Hippocratic Oath and replaces it with spirit of The Hunger Games . Indeed, Choosing Wisely is designed to sustain the rationale and ideology that shaped Obamacare. Ruling out any test prior to even seeing a patient is a political edict, not a scientific decision. As one of medicine’s early innovators, William Osler, noted: “Variability is the law of life, and as no two faces are the same, so no two bodies are alike, and no two individuals react alike and behave alike under the abnormal conditions which we know as disease. Clinical judgment begins with uncertainty about the underlying causes of symptoms and ruling out conditions requiring even more tests and ineffective treatment.” Indeed, the “lists” are not the product of evidence-based review of practice and they come with a disclaimer inconsistent with the absolute certainty of their rightness that these statements are not medical claims. That’s a caveat more commonly associated with weight loss informercials than with a physician’s advice. But Choosing Wisely is not about patients exactly. It is part of the ABIMF and the American College of Physicians (ACP) charter designed to help make doctors “better stewards” in the “just and cost effective distribution of finite [medical] resources.” If this rhetoric rings a bell it’s because you have heard it before from environmentalists who justify government killing off oil production while spending billions on a failed solar energy business model as stewardship. It was also used by Garrett Hardin in The Tragedy of the Commons and Obama science adviser John Holdren to justify forced sterilization to save the planet from overconsumption. And, in The Hunger Games , by the Capitol to justify having tributes from each district kill the other until a sole victor remains. The ABIMF campaign doesn’t promote such measures (though we should be assured that the president’s science adviser thinks such actions are, like Obamacare, constitutional). But it is designed to give the doctor’s seal of approval to Obamacare’s practice guidelines and rationing. And it’s the blueprint for the campaign ABIMF is underwriting to get doctors to change how they practice medicine in order to bring about the Obamacare revolution. Harold Sox, ACP’s former president, noted: “I hope that we will look back upon [Choosing Wisely's] publication as a watershed event in medicine.” Sadly it is. Choosing Wisely is the first collective effort on the part of professional medical societies to decide how to practice medicine on the basis of cost first and foremost. The list of thou shall nots is redundant and highly subjective. Out the 45 “don’ts” nearly six are the same (no pre-operative screenings ) and 16 pertain to cardiac imaging. Almost all are discouraged in patients at “low to moderate” chance of getting sicker or dying from a disease or treatment complication. And the list leaves no room for mixed or inaccurate measurements. Someone goes Code Blue because their doctor chose wisely? Oh well. As Katniss Everdeen observed: “It’s easier destroying things than making them.” Moreover, it reflects political cravenness on the part of its creators who seek not only to promote Obamacare but cash in on it. Consumers Union, the group that puts out Consumer Reports and also supports a government-run health system, is part of this effort. In 2008 it pushed hard for a highly criticized and widely ridiculed system of rating health care quality in terms of how little care was delivered. By allying with ABIMF and ACP to promote Choosing Wisely, Consumers Union can relaunch its early failure with a medical seal of approval and use it to try to boost subscriptions to its newsletters and magazine. The ABIMF is giving cash to the National Physicians Alliance (NPA). Christine Cassell who heads up the ABIMF, is also on NPA’s board along with Rachel DeGolia, director of the Soros-funded Universal Healthcare Action Network. The Bayview Healthcenter in Baltimore, which employs ABIMF board member David Hollander, also received Choosing Wisely dough. Cassell, along with former ACP president Harold Sox, were early advocates of comparative effectiveness research (CER). Sox appointed Cassell to the Institute of Medicine panel that decided how CER should be conducted. The Choosing Wisely campaign is ultimately led by people who also stand to benefit from Obamacare contracts. Indeed, the closed cabal of docs and consultants who have received CER money in the past from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) and have received most of the (taxpayer) money given out by the so-called Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute include ABIMF trustees such as Steven Pauker and Peter Basch (who is also a senior fellow at the virulently anti-Israel Center for American Progress). Richard Baron, an ABIMF trustee, is now a senior official at Health and Human Services, in charge of initiatives worth billions. Together, CER and Obamacare innovation grants make up the biggest cesspool of single source contracts in government. These dwarf the crony capitalism of the Obama alternative energy program in dollar amount, political correctness, and sheer cronyism. ABIM and ACP are among the first groups to criticize doctors who receive support from drug and medical device companies for training and research. But they have no problem in campaigning for expansion of federal programs they have helped design and benefit from financially and politically. Most important, Choosing Wisely looks backwards to ration older procedures that are rapidly being replaced by tests that, by identifying which patients respond best to what care, can avoid duplicative or ineffective treatments. Programs such as Horizon Healthcare Innovations’ patient-centered medical homes give doctors more freedom to decide how to treat people and what to test for: the initiative has reduced hospitalization and emergency room use by keeping people healthy. As Dr. Eric Topol notes in The Creative Destruction Of Medicine about the practice of medicine in general, Choosing Wisely “relies on the wrong concept that the median of patients is the message.” Choosing Wisely is silent on getting doctors to use point of care and hand-held devices that can deliver individualized care frugally, if for no other reason than the insistence that CER be used to determine who has access to such advanced treatment and when. In order to maintain just distribution of medical resources, of course. Topol notes: “[We] are right at the cusp of having new tools to affect that change — the ability to define each individual in ‘high definition’ at the biological, physiological and anatomical levels. While we have long appreciated that each human being is unique, it is only now that we can leverage this information to improve medicine.” That is truly choosing wisely, something Obamacare’s medical mercenaries have failed to do in forsaking patients for a political agenda.

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Over the last two days, Barack Obama’s reelection strategy has become clear. If the health care law is overturned, he will run against the Supreme Court . If the law is upheld, he will run against Paul Ryan . But what would the first scenario look like? On the one hand, a Supreme Court reversal of the president’s signature domestic achievement would fire up the Democratic base. Liberals would be outraged. It would help the Obama campaign get turnout among minorities and younger voters to approach the improbable 2008 levels, as the president would treat it as an undemocratic attack on his legitimacy. It would help solve whatever enthusiasm problems remain among liberal voters. The flip side is that the law is unpopular , especially among groups the president needs to win reelection and who in some cases exist in larger numbers than liberals. Many Americans believe Obamacare is unconstitutional and would like to see it repealed one way or another. Is Obama really going to campaign on reinstating a law large numbers of swing voters intensely dislike? It seems to be a good way to remind independents of what they came to dislike about the administration and its policies. Obama may be hoping for an assist from Mitt Romney, his likeliest Republican challenger. A Supreme Court decision against the individual mandate would in many respects help Romney neutralize the issue. But Obama will probably use it to muddy distinctions between the two major party candidates on health care while reminding liberals that some Republicans didn’t have a problem with the mandate before the Democrats took office. Whether that strategy would work is less clear.

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What Would A Scorched Earth Campaign Against Obamacare Reversal Look Like?

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House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi is taking a different tone than the president with regard to the Supreme Court and the health care law, but she expresses similar confidence that the law will be upheld. “I’m predicting 6-3 in favor,” Pelosi said, as quoted by the Washington Times . “We shall see. It’s a lesson in civics, and I respect it.” Pelosi didn’t name the six justices she thought would uphold the law, but the likeliest breakdown in that scenario would be Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Anthony Kennedy voting with the court’s liberal bloc. Then Speaker Pelosi’s response to the intial constitutional questions has not been improved upon by subsequent liberal commentary: “Are you serious?”

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Promoted from diaries. Last year while governors across the Midwest worked to reform broken public union laws, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) slandered them in a speech that could have easily been written by one of the millionaire “leaders” at SEIU, NEA, or AFSCME. During one of his stemwinders about the wondrous things unions do, Sherrod dropped a reductio ad Hitlerum on Governor Kasich (OH), Governor Walker (WI), and Governor Christie (NJ): Bizarrely, Sherrod claims he’s not comparing Kasich, Walker, and Christie to Hitler, Stalin, and Mubarak in the middle of comparing them to Hitler, Stalin, and Mubarak . While he’s conflating overdue reforms with mass murder, Sherrod also repeats one of his favorite deceptions by pretending government unions are the same as private industry unions. Several media outlets noted the dictatorial portion of Sherrod’s rant, and the next day he apologized for stepping in it : “But in speaking about this, I should not have mentioned the hostility of tyrants like Hitler to unions,” Brown said. “I don’t want my mistake to distract from the critical debate in Ohio, and I apologize for it.” Sherrod didn’t want “to distract from the critical debate” over public union reform! Even now, slamming Ohio’s Senate Bill 5 as an “attack on workers” is the cornerstone of Sherrod’s stump speech – yet he always runs out of time before debating any of the critical specifics. Big Labor’s opponents are evil because it’s evil to oppose Big Labor. Sherrod Brown is desperate to get additional mileage out of the union bosses’ $40 million smear campaign , but remember what was actually in Ohio’s union reform bill: Replace automatic step increases with merit pay for public workers. Require public employees to pay 10% of their pension costs and 15% of their health insurance costs. End forced payment of “fair-share” fees for public workers who don’t want to join a union. End last-in, first-out firing policies, requiring considerations other than tenure when local governments must make layoffs. Public workers retain the privilege of collective bargaining for wages & working conditions, but may no longer go on strike against the public. No less the Progressive than FDR, patron saint of caring Democrats, knew public unions are an awful idea . Either Sherrod Brown is too dense to recognize government and private industry are different, or he’s been lying for years to protect his favorite interest group. Footnote: This clip is from the same speech where Sherrod claimed public union reform violates Christian principles . Refer again to the bullet points above; those are the sort of hateful reforms that get you slandered on the Senate floor as a tyrannical heathen by Sherrod Brown. Transcript of the C-SPAN clip follows. Sherrod Brown: Because we, as a country, we stand for a more egalitarian workforce. We stand for worker rights. We believe workers should organize and bargain collectively, if they choose. We believe in a minimum wage. We believe in workers’ compensation. We believe in worker safety. We believe in human rights, and all of that is about the labor movement, and, you know, you can support labor rights in Guatemala, but you better damn be sure you’re supporting labor rights in Wilmington, and Columbus, and Cleveland, and, and Detroit, and Dover, Delaware, and everywhere else. And that’s, um, that’s, those were, those were some of the words Secretary Clinton said – I’m obviously expanding on them – but, as a nation, you know, I I I I look back at history and some of the worst governments we’ve ever had, you know one of the first things they did? They went after the trade unions. Hitler didn’t want unions, Stalin didn’t want unions, Mubarak didn’t want independent unions. These, these autocrats in history don’t want independent unions. So when I see, when I see in Egypt, or if I see in, in the old Soviet Russia, or I see – history tells me about Germany – I, I, I’m not, I’m not comparing what’s happening to the workers in Madison or in Columbus to Hitler and Stalin, but I am saying that history teaches us that unions are a very positive force in society that creates a middle class and that protects our freedom. Cross-posted from jasonahart.com

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Sherrod Brown Compares GOP Governors to Hitler, Stalin

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