Filed under: Democrats , Republicans , Humor , Voting , Chaos Theory Try to remember, that kind of November…
Filed under: Senate , Polls , Governors , Poll Watch , 2010 Elections Brown and Boxer are not being hurt by an “enthusiasm gap” between Democratic and Republican voters as are Democrats running for office in other states.
Filed under: House , Democrats , Republicans , Polls , Poll Watch , Independents , 2010 Elections , Tea Party Forty-six percent of Republicans are “very enthusiastic” compared to 30 percent of Democrats, while independents are the least engaged with 23 percent in the “very enthusiastic” column
Filed under: House , Polls , Poll Watch , 2010 Elections The “generic congressional ballot” has been pointing to a GOP tide this year that could enable Republicans to retake the House. How reliable of a measure is it?
Jim : It should be noted that Time/CNN is polling registered voters, while both Rasmussen and SurveyUSA are filtering responses to isolate likely voters. The latter two firms might not be capturing likely voters correctly, of course, but they both have a pretty good track records, and I’m inclined to distrust a poll that makes no attempt to measure the enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democrats in this cycle — which is to say, I’m inclined to suspect the Time/CNN sample includes dispirited Democrats who are unlikely to make it to the polls, and thus to take it with a grain of salt.
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Re: Dueling Polls
