The New York Times reported this morning that the combined raised total for Romney and the RNC was $40.1 million in April, with Romney having $61.4 million in the bank: in comparison, Obama/the DNC raised $43.6 million. Barack Obama’s own cash on hand for April – it was $104.1 million at the end of March – and we probably won’t be told it until the Sunday deadline, or possibly a little later than that . Though, to be fair, Romney and the RNC haven’t submitted their latest fundraising reports to the FEC, either. Also: while I give points to the NYT for mentioning that this was a significant jump from Romney’s March haul of $12.6 million, they might have kept comparing apples-to-apples and included the RNC’s March fundraising total ( $13.7 million ). Or noted that the Democrats’ $43.6 million number for April represents a drop from March’s $53 million . Then again, I suppose that there’s a narrative in place. The real question, of course, is just how much any of this means . Answer: thanks to the latest round of campaign finance reform, not as much as it would have in 2008. Romney and the RNC having this money is good , because it’ll fund infrastructure, campaign worker payrolls, GOTV efforts, and everything else you need to apply a force multiplier to local/grassroots efforts. And they’ll have the money to get the specific message that they want out. But, thanks to the Citizens United case, groups with an interest in the election have a much larger opportunity to have their voices heard, this cycle. Given that the central message this election will be Are you better off now than you were… heck, last month ? you can imagine how much this upsets the Democratic party, despite the fact that nobody’s stopping them from likewise grabbing a microphone and singing out. One last note: I don’t like lumping Romney and the RNC together like this, because it implies that the relationship between the two is essentially identical to that of Obama to the DNC. Which is false. Romney does not control the RNC the way that Obama owns the DNC; obviously the RNC will be working with the candidate, and naturally the Presidential race is the big one this year. But there are still House and Senate races for the national committee’s consideration. I note this because the DCCC and DSCC have been already told that there’s no DNC money for them *, and they are not happy about it … Moe Lane ( crosspost ) (H/T: @ RyanGOP ) *In contrast, the RNC , NRCC , and NRSC have created an interlocking support network for the three national committees, including financial assistance when necessary.
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Romney/RNC almost catches up with Obama/DNC in April.
The Democratic-controlled Senate hasn’t passed a budget in 1,113 days and that is unlikely to change today. But senators are scheduled to vote on five different budget proposals, four of them proposed by Republicans.Senate Democrats did not agree to a budget of their own. There are a few interesting questions: How many Senate Republicans, if any, oppose the Paul Ryan budget from the left? There will be a few GOP senators who vote against it because it doesn’t balance the budget fast enough. Will any say it goes too far? Does anyone vote for Barack Obama’s budget? The president’s budget failed to record a single vote in the House and looks likely to be shut out again in the Senate. Democrats will probably want to avoid a scenario where Republicans can subject the Obama budget to prolonged debate and amendments. How many votes will conservative alternative budgets by Rand Paul, Pat Toomey, and Mike Lee get? These senators have all pushed to balance the budget more rapidly than the Ryan plan. Will any of their alternatives gain any traction? The biggest question is probably how long we can run the federal government without a real budget. My guess is we’ll have to wait at least until after the November elections.
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Senate to Hold Budget Votes Today
Yesterday, I posted to these pages a blog note of 619 words on the subject of the politics of Obama’s flip-flop-flip on gay marriage. Of these, four words were “as we should be” which I used in reference to the nation’s getting more comfortable with homosexual relationships. To be perfectly clear, I am neither gay nor willing to learn. But not being gay doesn’t cause me to automatically dislike gays anymore than not being black causes me to automatically dislike blacks. Of course, I’m perfectly willing to dislike any individual based on his or her own merits. When I wrote those four words, I knew they would generate some controversy on the blog pages, but I did not expect that of the large number of comments to the note nearly 90 percent would be in reference to four words rather than to the other 615 words (in which I argued that Barack Obama’s rapid “evolution” on gay marriage was not turning into political success, though it was bolstering his Manhattan and Hollywood fundraising). Since you, esteemed readers, were so interested in those four words, I thought it only fair to respond. A few specific replies. I won’t mention commenters’ names. You know who you are, or you know if you agree with those who made the initial points: Libertarian is not the same as libertine. I presume you know that and are intentionally misrepresenting what you know, or should know, I stand for. If you don’t know, then stop using terms you don’t understand. (Beyond that, I am more Objectivist than libertarian, though some consider the difference subtle. Certainly Ayn Rand didn’t…but that’s a story for another day.) I did not say “celebrate” homosexuality, nor did I say people should become comfortable with (much less celebrate) “homosexual acts.” It is perfectly natural to feel uncomfortable with something so outside of one’s own inclinations. What I talked about quite specifically was tolerance of two people’s relationship, and I stand by my assertion that such tolerance is better than its opposite. It is better morally and better politically; the former is more important. I understand that some people believe the bible says that homosexuals are going to hell. With you I have an unbridgeable gap; we will never convince each other and I am not trying to talk you out of your deeply-held religious beliefs. I do not believe that homosexuality is a choice for most gays and lesbians. Therefore, I do not believe it is moral to hate homosexuals for whom they fall in love with (or whom they have sex with) any more than it is moral to hate blacks for their color. I never said that morality is an “oppressive device.” I said that oppressive devices, i.e. the federal government, should not be used to impose morality. If any of you can convince others to follow your moral code by explaining it to them, by telling them why you think you’re right and why you think your prescription is good medicine for our nation or culture, more power to you. But government is force and it must not be used, either by a majority or by a minority, to impose morality beyond those fundamental natural rights understood by our Founders and already protected by them, at least theoretically, in our Founding documents. Thanks to the person who said that Objectivists are not liberals or “secular humanists.” You are quite right. As you are right that I object to altruism as the left uses the term, though I do believe strongly in giving VOLUNTARILY to charities. I certainly don’t believe in “social responsibility”, again the way the left uses the term, but that does not mean I do not place value on helping others VOLUNTARILY. Feel free to read Ayn Rand’s short non-fiction book “The Virtue of Selfishness.” What exactly is a “homosexual public display?” If it’s two guys holding hands, I admit that makes me a little uncomfortable (though much less than it used to). If it’s two guys kissing, it makes me more than a little uncomfortable. But it doesn’t make me hate them. I don’t suggest you/we (straight white guys) join in a Gay Pride parade any more than I suggest we join in an MLK Day parade or that non-Italians join in Columbus Day parades, waving the Italian flag. I do suggest you avoid literally or rhetorically bashing gays any more than you bash blacks or Italians, even if you are none of the above. “Spouses” was in quotes because 60 percent of our United States (or somewhat less than 60 percent if you believe there are 57 states) don’t allow gay marriage. Therefore, one state’s spouse is another state’s ___ (you fill in the blank; I don’t know the answer). As for orgies in the back yard that neighborhood kids can see, that is improper (and I presume illegal) no matter the gender or sexual orientation of those participating. I don’t want to pay for higher health care costs for any group because of their behavior. So get the government out of health care costs. And let private companies discriminate, i.e. permit higher (health and life) insurance premiums for gay people. If they don’t really cost more to insure, competition will bring prices down. If they do cost more, they should pay more just as smokers often do for insurance. People should live with the costs of their own behavior. I’ll bet you that gays in committed relationships have little or no actuarial difference in health/life risks. Here is one example of a benefit from encouraging committed relationships among gays. Another example would be that, just as with heterosexual couples, if one hits a financial rough spot, the other can help out and keep an American off welfare, food stamps, and the government dole generally. For the person who suggests that gays will “roast on Beelzebub’s spit,” I suggest a long look in the mirror when considering what God really thinks is OK. For those name-callers out there (i.e. those going after me personally because of a disagreement of philosophy/religion), I can only think of this worst-possible insult: Your behavior reminds me of what I would expect from liberals, who routinely take political disagreement as personal attack. Now, one thing I could have made clearer: I did and do mean that I believe we should be getting more comfortable with those in same-sex relationships…with those people as individual human beings or as couples. I did not say and did not mean we should necessarily be more comfortable with “gay marriage” per se (and not with particular sexual acts, though that is no more your business than your sexual acts are anyone else’s business). Even Barack Obama, in 2004, noted that marriage has a specific meaning with thousands of years of history behind it. I am among those who think that part of the problem with this debate is the use of the word marriage. My wife asks rhetorically: if the majority of us have to suffer through marriage, why should gays be exempt? I concur except for the use of the word marriage. I understand that civil unions and domestic partnerships may be perceived, and may be intended by some, as the camel’s nose under the tent — a giant step toward gay marriage. But having spoken to a few gays about this, I know that a substantial percentage of them don’t care about the word marriage as much as they care about equal treatment under the law. And in that a least they have a reasonable argument. I maintain my view that we should get government out of marriage, allow any two people to make any contract they want to (which does not infringe on the natural rights of others), allow any house of worship to decide whom they will or won’t marry, and only have government involved insofar as contract enforcement. Lest my conservative friends and readers on these pages think I am a full-fledged apologist for “gay rights,” allow me a couple more points: Some gays wildly exaggerate the “rights” that they don’t have. But more importantly, “gay rights” crusaders, just as many other crusaders for other “victim groups” that the left likes to create in their permanent divide-and-conquer strategy, misunderstand and misuse the word “rights.” Our rights are inherent in our being human beings. Our Founders said that our rights come from God. It is in that sense of us being equally human — no matter your view of God — that we have equal rights. But we are a nation of negative rights, which is to say that our fundamental law, the Constitution, is a code which says what government may NOT do to us. Neither the Constitution nor any politician gives us rights. (In fact, this was part of the original argument about the Bill of Rights: James Madison, among others, initially opposed the idea of a Bill of Rights as potentially implying that rights not spelled out were rights not retained by citizens; thus the inclusion of the 9 th and 10 th Amendments.) No group has a claim to special “rights” that others don’t have. (One example of the government violating this precept is the existence of “hate crime” laws. There should not be a bigger penalty for beating up a gay or black than for beating up a straight white guy.) Furthermore, I believe that private businesses and private citizens have a First Amendment right NOT to associate with people just as much as we have our rights of association as normally considered. Thus, those who dislike gays or blacks or Jews or left-handed people or people who enjoy the sport of curling should have the right to exclude them, or anyone else they don’t like for any reason whatever, from their private property. The other side of the coin, however, is that the government should not be able to discriminate at all. Government’s picking winners and losers in no more appropriate in society or culture than in business; I say this in complete realization that today’s government does all of the above. Because, I repeat, government is force. This means that government must not treat gays, blacks or any others worse than they treat members of society’s (then current) majority; but it means just as importantly that government must not treat them better than they treat others. One commenter got something right yesterday: When I deleted those four words – not because I was backing away from my position, but because I wanted people to focus on the other 615 words – someone suggested I should have left them. I probably should have. After all, the virulent reaction of several commenters, both against gays and against me, says at least as much about them as my words said about me. In any case, I am appreciative, as always, of the conversation and of those who engage in a civil discussion on issues, regardless of whether we agree or disagree.
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Four Words
Mitt Romney’s campaign is making great headway, closing with Barack Obama during this lovely month of May. It is one thing when Rasmussen’s tracking poll puts Romney up by 2 points for May 11-14. Rasmussen is every Republican’s favorite pollster. But what does it say when even the establishmentarian CBS News/ New York Times poll puts Governor Romney up by 3 points? Moreover, the average of all polls to date give President Obama only a 1.6 percentage lead, according to RealClearPolitics. This is substantial progress since the beginning of the month when the Associated Press/GfK poll gave Obama an 8-point edge, 50-42, for the May 3-7 time frame. This rapid shift in polling may account for the Obama campaign’s nasty swerve toward negativity with an emphasis on class envy, disparagement of free markets, and vilification of successful people generally, including donors opposing the President. And it is only going to get worse this election cycle. The Washington Examiner ran a story this week on training provided to the House Democratic Caucus “on how to inject the issue of race into nearly any political argument that takes place during the 2012 election season.” Evidently, one Maya Wiley, a former adviser for George Soros’s Open Society Institute and founder of the Center for Social Inclusion, spoke to the Caucus on “race and fiscal policy,” and insists that all talk of cutting government spending is “racially coded.” Even Rick Santorum is accused of playing the race card by calling for cuts in spending and the welfare state. Wiley urges Democrats to steer the public dialogue away from race-neutral language. “‘Explain how each racial group is affected [by a government program], but start with people who are white,’ she wrote in her presentation. ‘Then raise racial disparities.’” Back to the campaign, the experienced Republican politico, Ed Rogers, got it right in the Washington Post on May 9 when he asked why, despite a bruising primary and Romney supposedly “winning ugly,” the GOP “war on women,” and other negative spin about the Ryan budget, isn’t Obama “cruising” right now with a big lead? “Romney is stronger than he has been portrayed and Obama is weaker than most people think,” wrote Rogers. “How else do you explain the current polls?” The day before, on May 8, the Wall Street J ournal ‘s political reporter, Gerald Seib, wrote a column on the efforts by both campaigns to build up enthusiasm among targeted voters. Seib observed that an April poll by the WSJ and NBC showed Obama leading among all voters by 6 percentage points, 49-46. “But among those who express high interest in the election — defined as those who rate their interest at a nine or 10 on a 10-point scale — Mr. Romney leads by three points, 49% to 46%.” For Democrats, 64 percent are highly interested in the election, versus 80 percent four years ago. “By contrast, enthusiasm among Republicans actually is up a few percentage points, to 74% from 71% four years ago,” wrote Seib. An early May USA Today /Gallup Swing State Poll revealed the two candidates to be essentially even with Obama ahead of Romney, 47-45, in the dozen battleground states that will determine the outcome of the November election. Obama had a lead of 9 percentage points in late March. However, the President is generating an edge in enthusiasm among his voters there. “For the first time, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting — a shift from a 14-percentage point GOP advantage at the end of last year to an 11-point deficit now,” wrote Susan Page in USA Today . However, among those polled in the swing states, 60 percent say a President Romney would do a good or very good job handling the economy as opposed to 52 percent who say the same thing about President Obama. Republican optimists would say that Romney just won a tough primary battle with wounds still healing and Obama has an early lead in organizing in the target states, both circumstances that are going to change, are changing, rapidly. James Collins, the celebrated author of the best-selling business book, Good to Great , tells the story of Admiral Jim Stockdale, a prisoner of war who was tortured by the Viet Cong for eight years. In response to Collins’s enquiry as to who did not make it out of the camps, Stockdale replied, “Oh, that’s easy. It was the optimists. They were the ones who said we were going home by Christmas.… You know, I think they all died of broken hearts.” I am certain that Admiral Stockdale would not counsel pessimism in the face of challenges but realism certainly. This will be a long, grueling campaign that will make the Republican primary look like a pleasant round of croquet. It is certainly winnable, but no one who wishes Mitt Romney well can simply sit on their hands and watch this election from afar. It is time for all hands on deck.
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Romney Closing With Obama
Don’t believe the media. Barack Obama has received more favorable media coverage than any President in our nation’s history – from highlighting any positive news, to burying negative news to not reporting news (e.g. Obama’s background, Fast and Furious, etc.). Yet, even though 95%+ of all news is in his favor, our thin-skinned President bristles
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For Once Obama Gets It Right
